@MarkIngraham has recently made a market most days about whether or not the sun will explode.
For example:
https://manifold.markets/MarkIngraham/will-the-sun-not-explode-09486b3138c1
I quite like these markets because generally they are a nice way to steal some pocket change from bots so I can make silly markets about spiders and things (apart from when one resolved 'wrongly'), but my opinion is certainly founded in relative naivety to the site mechanics which may mask some dark reason I'm unaware of for why these markets are harmful.
The user is currently banned from the site, which I presume prevents the creation of new markets, but according to comments on https://manifold.markets/ScottLawrence/will-markingraham-be-banned-before this is a one-week ban.
Resolves to N/A if @MarkIngraham is not unbanned by the time this market closes, or is not unbanned for sufficiently long to create four daily markets about the sun exploding. Resolves to NO if @MarkIngraham is unbanned, but is later banned for new offences.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ17 | |
| 2 | Ṁ5 | |
| 3 | Ṁ4 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1 |
@firstuserhere I’m willing to accept this since the description is fairly ambiguous and nobody is likely to object, but to try to mitigate my own bias I’ll sell my position first and then resolve.