Will George R. R. Martin finish writing Winds of Winter by May 31, 2023?
68
1.3kṀ58kresolved Jun 7
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if he publically announces this by the first week of June (although I can change this if people have compelling arguments for why this doesn't correlate well enough to the core question).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ84 | |
| 2 | Ṁ55 | |
| 3 | Ṁ31 | |
| 4 | Ṁ13 | |
| 5 | Ṁ12 |
Sort by:
I don't even have to read the date. The answer is NO.*
* Exaggerated for humorous effect.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
89% chance
Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?
51% chance
Will Patrick Rothfuss finish writing the third book of the Kingkiller Chronicles by 2030?
46% chance