Will Elon Musk vote for Donald Trump in 2024?
2024 US Presidential ElectionTrumpRepublican PartyElon musk
Basic
52
แน€22k
2025
96%
chance

This market will resolve to YES if Elon Musk states that he voted for Donald Trump or otherwise indicates very strong support for his candidacy before the end of 2024. If Elon Musk does not do this or Donald Trump is not a candidate for the 2024 presidential election, this market will resolve to NO.

Examples for clarity:

Elon tweeting "everyone should go vote for Trump" would be enough evidence to resolve YES

Elon tweeting "Joe Biden is the worse candidate" or "I refuse to vote for Joe Biden" or supporting something that Trump says would not be enough to resolve YES, since they are not direct advocacy for voting for Trump.

I won't bet on this market.

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It's looking very likely! If Elon doesn't say anything that indicates he's changing his mind before the election, I'll resolve YES based on his endorsement of Trump.

Does that mean it will be resolved on election day?

Correct

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1767768947862941794?s=46&t=UJP2QQFpfK_Fn9l02l93Ng

@KwameOsei I won't count this since Elon is not the one directly making the statement, but if Elon himself said this it would count for sure.

@Arky I wasnโ€™t suggesting the market should be resolved, I just thought the odds were really off considering heโ€™s retweeted more stuff like this in the past.

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