This market will resolve to YES if any whale on manifold (defined as a user with an all-time profit of at least 200,000 mana) has their profit graph decrease by 500,000 mana or more over a period of 72 hours before the end of 2024. Manipulation of the profit graph will not count. Examples of manipulation would include actions taken solely to resolve this market, making a funny profit spike using a market that is guaranteed to resolve N/A, etc.

Some examples of things that would count: Isaac King's losses in the Whales vs. Minnows market and Mira's antics at the end of 2023.