Will a whale go down in a ball of flames before July?
11
124
250
Jul 1
22%
chance

This market will resolve to YES if any trader on manifold has their profit graph decrease by 500,000 mana or more over a period of 72 hours before July 1st. Manipulation of the profit graph will not count; these must be legitimate losses.

Some examples of things that would count: Isaac King's losses in the Whales vs. Minnows market and Mira's antics at the end of 2023.

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I created another whale bankruptcy market for 2024: https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/counterparty-risk-which-whales-will