US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?
11
34
230
2027
31%
chance

This resolves YES if the National Labor Relations Board (or any successor organization) recognizes a union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by the end of 2026 that either:

  1. Primarily is a union of software engineers

  2. OR contains a majority of the software engineers employed at the company's headquarters

  3. OR contains a majority of the American software engineers employed by that company.

Fine print:

  1. If any of the mentioned companies merges with or is acquired by another company, the resulting combined company counts for the purposes of this market.

  2. If any of these companies divests a substantial portion of the company (>10% of employees), then the divested company also counts for purposes of this market.

  3. If any of these companies is involtarily broken up by court order, then the children companies also counts for this market so long as they have >10% of the employees of the original company.

Get Ṁ200 play money

More related questions