This resolves YES if the National Labor Relations Board (or any successor organization) recognizes a union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by the end of 2026 that either:
Primarily is a union of software engineers
OR contains a majority of the software engineers employed at the company's headquarters
OR contains a majority of the American software engineers employed by that company.
Fine print:
If any of the mentioned companies merges with or is acquired by another company, the resulting combined company counts for the purposes of this market.
If any of these companies divests a substantial portion of the company (>10% of employees), then the divested company also counts for purposes of this market.
If any of these companies is involtarily broken up by court order, then the children companies also counts for this market so long as they have >10% of the employees of the original company.
Update 2025-05-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the first resolution condition ('Primarily is a union of software engineers'), this will be considered met if a majority of the members in the NLRB-recognized bargaining unit (referred to by the creator as the 'NLRB recognized part') are software engineers. The creator is seeking an independent source to verify this.
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