Would Trump let AI wipe out humanity? (2030) | Manifold

Would Trump let AI wipe out humanity? (2030)

11

1kṀ421

2030

11%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A conditional market to tease out which 2024 presidential candidate is going to save us from AI.

If Donald Trump is not elected president in the 2024 US Presidential election, this resolves as N/A. Otherwise it has the same resolution as:

https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-d8733b2114a8

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

21% chance. If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2030, then this market resolves to NO. If humanity is not around but AI(s) are then this market resolves to YES. If neither humanity nor AIs are around then this market does not resolve. See also: @/Tripping/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-6d…

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The title is kind of confusing, because the question is actually more like "Will Trump let AI kill us all?"

@ArunJohnson You're absolutely right. I'll fix the titles

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