Will the EU officially weaken or invalidate U.S. intellectual property rights before 2026?
71
1kṀ38k
Dec 31
10%
chance

Market resolves YES if, prior to January 1, 2026, the European Union officially announces or implements policies that explicitly weaken, suspend, invalidate, or refuse enforcement of intellectual property rights (patents, trademarks, copyrights, registered designs) originating from or registered in the United States.

  • Actions must be official EU-level measures (not just national or informal statements).

  • Actions must explicitly target IP rights registered or originating in the U.S.

Market resolves NO if no such EU policy is officially announced or enacted before January 1, 2026.

United States
Europe
Metaculus
European Union
Tariff
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