This market resolves to the average price per kilogram of room-temperature and pressure superconductor in the year 2033. For the purposes of this market, a room-temperature superconductor is defined as a material which displays superconducting properties at a temperature of 293.15 Kelvin (20 degrees Celsius) or higher, and a pressure of 1 atmosphere (101.325 kPa).
The superconductor must have a transition temperature (Tc) at or above the stated temperature under the given pressure conditions to qualify. The price will be considered at industrial volumes, assuming reliable and commoditized pricing mechanisms.
If the superconductor's price fluctuates significantly during the year, the average price over the course of the entire year will be used. This market will resolve based on the average annual price of 1kg of superconductor fulfilling these conditions, as reported by a reputable industry source or sources.
If no such superconductor is on the market, or it is so scarce that the cost is clearly above the maximum, this market will resolve to the maximum.
Edit; The price is in 2033 US dollars.
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Could you specify which form/purity will be evaluated? If I go to websites that sell YBCO, I have options for purity at 99%, 99.5%, 99.9%, 99.99%... and for form as solid vs. powdered. Especially for LK-99 it seems like current efforts may have trace amounts of superconducting powder but given the 1D lattice hypothesis larger chunks will be much harder.
@JeffreyWagner if there are multiple grades / formulas etc I’ll use my judgement and try to pick the most widely used/cheap product that fits the criteria. Precursors or ingredients don’t count, the delivered product must superconduct
You posted this to the big LK-99 market as "I made a market for when this is on amazon".
My assumption was that this was therefore asking how much it would cost to order 1kg of LK-99 on amazon in 2033, including scenarios where LK-99 turned out to be not an RTAPSC.
Totally my bad for not reading the question itself before voting, but I do think that your comment linking to the market was misleading.
@Joshua Aah sorry the comment was a bit tongue in cheek. Apologies for that, I’ll try to be more careful