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Will any US state attempt to secede from the union within one year of the 2024 election?

5% chance

Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?

39% chance

Will the United States default on its sovereign debt obligations by December 31, 2025?

1% chance

Will 4 or more US banks fail in 2025?

34% chance

Will the US government default on its debt by the end of 2025?

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@mods Creator is inactive, resolves NO AFAICT.

@MugaSofer I'm not sure how to check this tbh

@jacksonpolack Well, I think it would be in PACER, but I'll try searching news instead:

https://news.bloomberglaw.com/bankruptcy-law/nebraska-district-files-for-chapter-9-bankruptcy-protection

A sanitary and improvement district in Douglas County, Nebraska, filed for bankruptcy protection in the US Bankruptcy Court for the District of Nebraska on Thursday, marking a rare Chapter 9 filing.
Sanitary and Improvement District No. 542 is located in the county home to Omaha
Sanitary and improvement districts are created to provide services to new real estate developments, according to Douglas County

I don't think this counts as a city.

I can't find any other news sources. It is a notable thing, it generates news stories. I'm going to resolve No.