Will there be a new COVID variant with an impact greater than Omicron in 2022 or 2023?
36
240Ṁ4530resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Impact will be judged in terms of hospitalizations, deaths, societal consequences, and general effects on the resumption of "normal life".
Jan 14, 7:18pm: #Covid #Variants #COVID19
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ29 | |
| 2 | Ṁ28 | |
| 3 | Ṁ24 | |
| 4 | Ṁ24 | |
| 5 | Ṁ23 |
Sort by:
@TwoDerrick this will resolve on January 1, so it'll need to have an impact really really soon
https://www.who.int/news/item/26-11-2021-classification-of-omicron-(b.1.1.529)-sars-cov-2-variant-of-concern It is unclear if this will be bad enough to be considered separate from Omicron, but it seems to be even more infectious.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
42% chance
Will a COVID-19 variant cause a new scare and intermittent lockdowns in multiple countries by end 2025?
8% chance
Will there be another major pandemic before the end of 2030
41% chance
Will the next pandemic be worse than COVID?
In what year will the next pandemic occur that is as bad or worse than COVID?
2048