Will there be a new COVID variant with an impact greater than Omicron in 2022 or 2023?
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resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO
Impact will be judged in terms of hospitalizations, deaths, societal consequences, and general effects on the resumption of "normal life". Jan 14, 7:18pm: #Covid #Variants #COVID19
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predicted NO

@TwoDerrick this will resolve on January 1, so it'll need to have an impact really really soon

https://www.who.int/news/item/26-11-2021-classification-of-omicron-(b.1.1.529)-sars-cov-2-variant-of-concern It is unclear if this will be bad enough to be considered separate from Omicron, but it seems to be even more infectious.
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