Will Manifold use a loan rate that varies by user before the end of 2023?
67
1.2kṀ3287
resolved Dec 3
Resolved
N/A

Re: critiques on https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-82823, another way to boost the "voting power" of superforecasters would be to adjust the loan policies based on factors like:

  • how long has the user been on the site

  • what's the user's current profit

  • what's the user's current calibration grade

This idea was proposed in discord here: https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/1145904687170723933/1145904687170723933

Related market with some relevant discussion: https://manifold.markets/SG/will-manifold-lower-the-loan-rate-f

This market will resolve YES if the Manifold developers say the loan rate varies on a per-user basis at some point between now and January 1, 2024 (even if this variability is later turned off or if the conditions are unrelated to what's proposed above).

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