Will the United States legalize real money prediction markets by June 1, 2023?
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100Ṁ237resolved Feb 22
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I feel like the title sums it up pretty well. I consider this to be a major barrier to the development of the markets at the moment.
We'll say that this one will be resolved positively if the federal government allows at least some real money markets to exist, even if there's some sort of onerous licensing scheme or a particularly painful set of regulations, provided that those regulations don't break the fundamental operation of the market. I am considering "real money" to mean "permits dollar-denominated predictions" here, which is a judgement merely about adoptability, not the soundness of crypto.
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