Will Russia be classified as a "flawed democracy" by 2030?
10
31
αΉ€160
2031
11%
chance

Resolves YES if Russia reaches a 6.00 Democracy Index according to the Economist's 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, or 2030 reports.

(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democracy_Index)

Get αΉ€200 play money
Sort by:

The Yes position is off to a bad start, with the first two years' scores dropping from 2021's 3.24 to 2.28 in 2022 and then 2.22 in 2023. 7 years remain.

predicts YES

It was at 5.02 in 2006!