Will Kamala Harris be the next person to be president?
30
138
550
2029
19%
chance

As soon as someone who is not Joe Biden is inaugurated as president of the United States, resolves YES if it is Kamala Harris, and NO otherwise, including non-scheduled and extraordinary inaugurations.

If this does not happen by January 23, 2029, resolves N/A.

"Acting president" does not count for the purposes of this market.

Apr 21, 5:55pm: Will Kamala Harris be the next distinct person to be president? → Will Kamala Harris be the next person to be president?

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To me, "next distinct person" excludes Trump - I'd just use "next person", I think