Where will I be on July 15, 2024?

Basic

7

Ṁ1000

resolved Jul 16

Resolved

YES

United States

Resolved

YES

California

Resolved

YES

Berkeley, CA

Resolved

YES

A place where recreational marijuana is legal

Resolved

YES

Oakland, CA

Resolved

YES

Safeway

Resolved

NO

Somewhere not in the metro area of your residence

Resolved

NO

Treasure Island

Resolved

NO

San Francisco, CA

Resolved

NO

Ingleside Community Center

Resolved

NO

Albany, CA

Resolved

NO

An airport

Resolved

NO

A county which voted for Trump in 2020

Resolved

NO

Nevada

Resolved

NO

Jail

Resolved

NO

Canada

To avoid confusion, this is an unlinked market, which will resolve YES to every well-defined geographic location in which I will be present on July 15, 2024.

For instance, if I am in Berkeley, then "Berkeley", "Bay Area", "California", and "United States" all resolve YES.

If I'm in two different places on that day, they both resolve to YES. Feel free to add answers; I'll N/A anything that's too ambiguous to easily evaluate.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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@bohaska I've been only in Alameda and Contra Costa counties so far, which voted for Biden by 62- and 45-point margins, respectively.

https://strava.app.link/QonnRTZKgLb

Gonna check what boundaries I crossed later tonight

looks like I just made it to Kensington, as well as Oakland. Also went to a Safeway just now!

October 15th: https://manifold.markets/AndrewG/where-will-i-be-on-october-15-2024-ca8113d29609

@AndrewG uh.. where do you intend to be on july 15?

(bringing back alpha-seeking investigative journalism to prediction markets)

fwiw, my website has my semi-live-updating location xD

But I'm currently in the Bay and don't have any particular plans to move, though I've gone to Healdsburg a lot recently

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