Where will I be on October 15, 2024?
➕
Plus
30
Ṁ9570
resolved Nov 5
Resolved
YES
United States
Resolved
YES
Earth
Resolved
YES
A state that voted for Joe Biden in 2020
Resolved
YES
Madison, WI
Resolved
NO
A US state which borders the ocean
Resolved
NO
A town with a multi-word name (e.g. San Diego, El Paso)
Resolved
NO
Massachusetts
Resolved
NO
Chicago
Resolved
NO
Canada
Resolved
NO
Jail
Resolved
NO
United Kingdom
Resolved
NO
Berkeley
Resolved
NO
Cavendish, Vermont
Resolved
NO
Vermont
Resolved
NO
California
Resolved
NO
Eurasian Plate
Resolved
NO
San Francisco
Resolved
NO
A state that voted for Joe Biden in 2024

To avoid confusion, this is an unlinked market, which will resolve YES to every well-defined geographic location in which I will be present on October 15, 2024.

For instance, if I am in Berkeley, then "Berkeley", "Bay Area", "California", and "United States" all resolve YES.

If I'm in two different places on that day, they both resolve to YES. Feel free to add answers; I'll N/A anything that's too ambiguous to easily evaluate.

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I've seen enough: Joe Biden is not winning Wisconsin

I was in California last week, am currently in Madison, and am going to New York from Friday to Monday. Tuesday, however, I expect to be back in Madison!

A state that voted for Joe Biden in 2024

@AndrewG why is this so low?

@AndrewG oh LMAO I forgot that Joe Biden dropped out

bought Ṁ75 California NO
bought Ṁ50 Vermont NO

Why is Madison so high?

bought Ṁ50 Madison, WI YES

@ian He started a PhD program there!

Does this date hold any special significance for you?

@derikk nope, it's just long enough in the future that I have no idea where I'll end up!

Also, I'll stop betting on this market so I can't snipe everyone with secret information:)

I'm currently moving to Berkeley on December 9th, and have no further plans besides Cavendish Labs part 3, which has no determined location yet and will likely run next summer.

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