Where will I be on October 15, 2024?
Mini
17
1.4k
Oct 15
97%
Earth
87%
United States
78%
A state that voted for Joe Biden in 2020
68%
A US state which borders the ocean
66%
California
59%
A state that voted for Joe Biden in 2024
50%
Madison, WI
40%
A town with a multi-word name (e.g. San Diego, El Paso)
34%
Berkeley
30%
Vermont
29%
San Francisco
27%
Massachusetts
26%
Cavendish, Vermont
24%
Eurasian Plate
15%
United Kingdom
11%
Chicago
10%
Canada

To avoid confusion, this is an unlinked market, which will resolve YES to every well-defined geographic location in which I will be present on October 15, 2024.

For instance, if I am in Berkeley, then "Berkeley", "Bay Area", "California", and "United States" all resolve YES.

If I'm in two different places on that day, they both resolve to YES. Feel free to add answers; I'll N/A anything that's too ambiguous to easily evaluate.

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Does this date hold any special significance for you?

@derikk nope, it's just long enough in the future that I have no idea where I'll end up!

Also, I'll stop betting on this market so I can't snipe everyone with secret information:)

I'm currently moving to Berkeley on December 9th, and have no further plans besides Cavendish Labs part 3, which has no determined location yet and will likely run next summer.