Where will I be on October 15, 2024?
17
233
1.2K
Oct 15
96%
Earth
87%
United States
78%
A state that voted for Joe Biden in 2020
68%
A US state which borders the ocean
66%
California
59%
A state that voted for Joe Biden in 2024
40%
A town with a multi-word name (e.g. San Diego, El Paso)
34%
Berkeley
30%
Vermont
29%
San Francisco
27%
Massachusetts
26%
Cavendish, Vermont
24%
Eurasian Plate
15%
United Kingdom
11%
Chicago
10%
Canada

To avoid confusion, this is an unlinked market, which will resolve YES to every well-defined geographic location in which I will be present on October 15, 2024.

For instance, if I am in Berkeley, then "Berkeley", "Bay Area", "California", and "United States" all resolve YES.

If I'm in two different places on that day, they both resolve to YES. Feel free to add answers; I'll N/A anything that's too ambiguous to easily evaluate.

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bought Ṁ10 of Canada NO

Does this date hold any special significance for you?

sold Ṁ110 of Earth YES

@derikk nope, it's just long enough in the future that I have no idea where I'll end up!

bought Ṁ10 of A state that voted f... YES

Also, I'll stop betting on this market so I can't snipe everyone with secret information:)

bought Ṁ100 of Earth YES

I'm currently moving to Berkeley on December 9th, and have no further plans besides Cavendish Labs part 3, which has no determined location yet and will likely run next summer.