Includes

1. I create a market with appropriate closing date,

2. and resolve it during 2023.

So far, I haven't seen any short-term topic interesting for me so currently the candidate market is https://manifold.markets/AnT/will-manifold-announce-a-tax-on-blo.

I'm not betting here. Also I'm not going to manipulate this by creating a new market with the only intention to resolve this one.

Will Manifold announce a tax on blocking users by the end of 2023?

3% chance. Inspired by https://manifold.markets/levifinkelstein/will-i-have-122-followers-at-market#eqh2yPjq24jwKcCGoHHi [link preview]