Will Manifold Reach 8200 Monthly Active Users in 2023?

Ammon Lam

resolved Aug 8

Resolved

YES

ALL

Resolution base on the numbers reported here: https://manifold.markets/stats

Resolves "YES" if Manifold reaches 8200 monthly active users at any point in 2023

Resolves "NO" otherwise
Resolves "N/A" if Manifold stops reporting monthly active users to the public

Get Ṁ500 play money

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🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	PhilC	Ṁ552
2	RB	Ṁ386
3	SuckaDestroyer211	Ṁ333
4	Ev	Ṁ269
5	Marcus Abramovitch	Ṁ104

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Admin resolved

Kamil Staszewskipredicted YES

Resolveeeee

PhilCpredicted YES

I can’t see on mobile, but this resolves yes?

Yoav sold Ṁ0 NO at 99.7%

BankRobber sold Ṁ0 NO at 99.7%

rfog sold Ṁ212 YES at 99.7%

Daggy bought Ṁ10 NO from 99.8% to 99.7%

AK sold Ṁ443 YES at 99.8%

PhilC bought Ṁ10,000 YES from 99.2% to 99.8%

PhilC bought Ṁ1,000 YES from 98.9% to 99.2%

GregF bought Ṁ10 YES from 98.8% to 98.9%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 98.8% 🤖

PhilC bought Ṁ1,000 YES from 98.1% to 98.8%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 98.1% 🤖

rfog bought Ṁ209 YES at 98%

higherLEVELING bought Ṁ10 YES at 98%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 98% 🤖

higherLEVELING sold Ṁ5 NO from 97% to 98%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 97% 🤖

Marcus Abramovitch bought Ṁ1,000 YES from 93% to 97%

AK bought Ṁ200 YES from 91% to 93%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ91/Ṁ100 YES at 91% (cancelled) 🤖

AK bought Ṁ200 YES from 86% to 90%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 86% 🤖

SuckaDestroyer211 sold Ṁ485 YES from 92% to 84%

PhilC bought Ṁ94 YES from 91% to 92%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ37/Ṁ100 NO at 91% (cancelled) 🤖

PhilC bought Ṁ200 YES from 94% to 95%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 94% 🤖

PhilC bought Ṁ500 YES from 87% to 93%

PhilC bought Ṁ300 YES from 78% to 87%

AGG bought Ṁ20 YES from 77% to 78%

bandp bought Ṁ5 NO from 78% to 77%

VeatBot filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ10 NO at 78% 🤖

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ11/Ṁ100 YES at 80% (cancelled) 🤖

Kamil Staszewski bought Ṁ200 YES from 67% to 79%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ16/Ṁ100 YES at 67% (cancelled) 🤖

higherLEVELING sold Ṁ10 NO from 64% to 66%

Marcus Abramovitch bought Ṁ30 YES from 61% to 64%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 YES at 61% (cancelled) 🤖

Marcus Abramovitch bought Ṁ50 YES from 55% to 60%

PhilC bought Ṁ30 YES from 51% to 55%

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AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ42/Ṁ100 NO at 37% (cancelled) 🤖

PhilC bought Ṁ100 YES from 26% to 41%

Yoav bought Ṁ20 NO from 27% to 26%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 27% (cancelled) 🤖

Yoav bought Ṁ10 NO from 27% to 26%

Yoav bought Ṁ10 NO at 27%

Yoav bought Ṁ10 NO from 28% to 27%

Yoav bought Ṁ10 NO from 29% to 28%

Yoav bought Ṁ10 NO at 29%

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2% chance

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