Will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50% in 2025? | Manifold

Will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50% in 2025?

Basic

10

Ṁ316

2026

67%

chance

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1W

1M

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Resolution will be based on the ICE annual report for 2025.
Resolves Yes if the deportation of illegal immigrants in fiscal year 2025 goes up by 50% compare to the 2023 numbers. (i.e. Resolves Yes if 2025 deportation count is higher than 307,687)

Supplementary details:
https://www.ice.gov/news/releases/ice-releases-fiscal-year-2023-annual-report
In fiscal year 2023, "ICE ERO’s 142,580 removals and 62,545 Title 42 expulsions to more than 170 countries worldwide", a total of 205,125 deportation of illegal immigrants.

Below are the ICE removal statistics for 2017-2019

https://www.ice.gov/sites/default/files/documents/Document/2019/eroReportFY2019.pdf

Conditional and unconditional markets on illegal immigrants deportation:

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Republican Party

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bought Ṁ25 YES

@AmmonLam Could you clarify what you count as a "deportation" for the purposes of resolving this question? Do all repatriations count, or only removals, or only removals and title 42 expulsions?

Did you mean to be comparing fiscal year 2023 to fiscal year 2025, or is that a typo? The title of the market suggests it's a typo.

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