Will Apple sell 420420 units of Vision Pro in 2024?
58
1kṀ6910
Dec 31
9%
chance

This refers to the global sale of Apple Vision Pro units.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

I put some discussion at
https://manifold.markets/HenriThunberg/will-vision-pro-and-other-apple-hea-fee5899b9ba1

There was a 370k sales figure to q3 2024. This seems high to me but with extra sales as they expanded to other countries in that q3, I concede over 275k sales were likely. It also seems like they ordered parts for 500k or so and have not reordered parts believing they have more than lifetime sales before the next version if there is a next version.

They are still available so I think it is clear that sales are tailing off after they opened up sales to other countries in q3 2024. So the pattern if we assume that 370k sales figure is correct would be
2024 q1 100000
2024 q2 80000
2024 q3 190000
if they reached the 420k then 2024 q4 would be 50k and you could definitely avoid them running out of stock in 2025 with the sales tailing off to say 30k 20k 10k 5k in the 4 quarters.

Basically it is still not clear to me.

@creator how does this get resolved?

bought Ṁ757 NO

Exactly 420420 or more than 420419? Just want to confirm.

How will you resolve this?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy