Will a majority of the Long term markets be dead after loan system is removed? | Manifold

Will a majority of the Long term markets be dead after loan system is removed?

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Manifold is planning to get rid of the mana loan system.
Which means that for markets that never resolves/ super long horizon markets, traders' mana could be locked in indefinitely.

2 months after the mana loan system stopped, I will review the 5 most popular market with 10+ year horizon as of Apr 11,2024 ; The resolves yes if their trading activity has gone down to less than 30% than before (I will use my judgement).

If the mana loan system didn't get removed/got reinstated, this market resolves NA

https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Announcement-A-sustainable-mana-economy-08b86e8937554cc7a4608371f66ecb10?pvs=4

Get Ṁ200 play money

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they already are, you just don't see the ones that are dead

bought Ṁ10 NO

@Bayesian definitely

read description, maybe title would be more accurate asking about the majority of currently popular markets, but fair enough

sold Ṁ10 NO

@Bayesian it's hard becuz there are other reasons activity could drop

@Bayesian Fixed description as you suggested

Related questions

If loan system is removed, will near 0% long term markets stop being accurate?

What will be the price of the LK-99 market one month after loan system is removed?

In March, 41% of newly created markets were long term (close date after 2024). In May, will that shrink to <33%?

Will long term markets that possibly never resolve be affected, a week after the pivot is announced?

Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?

Will I continue to routinely make long term bets after Manifold gets rid of loans?

Will this market?

Will a market structure that incentivize betting on long term markets be found, by the end of May?

Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?

Will the first serious market creator to die ensure their outstanding markets get resolved?

Related questions

If loan system is removed, will near 0% long term markets stop being accurate?

Will I continue to routinely make long term bets after Manifold gets rid of loans?

What will be the price of the LK-99 market one month after loan system is removed?

Will this market?

In March, 41% of newly created markets were long term (close date after 2024). In May, will that shrink to <33%?

Will a market structure that incentivize betting on long term markets be found, by the end of May?

Will long term markets that possibly never resolve be affected, a week after the pivot is announced?

Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?

Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?

Will the first serious market creator to die ensure their outstanding markets get resolved?