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These are the top 5 10+ years market I found when I sort by total number of traders
https://manifold.markets/jdilla/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th
https://manifold.markets/Tripping/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-6d1e8126d974
https://manifold.markets/JacobWood/will-working-be-necessary-in-2070
https://manifold.markets/JamesBills/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-6e8e547afa66
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-an-asteroid-be-mined-for-miner

I tried browsing the past trading activities for these 5 markets, but it isn't very obvious to me by how much trading activities has gone down. If I judge by the commenting activities I think it is more apparent that activities has went down, may be by 50%, but not clear whether it went down to less than 30% than before.

I'm leaning towards resolving this market to 50%.

Going to wait for a week before resolving to give time for traders to object to this resolution. I appreciate anyone explaining their thoughts on the resolution of this market

When will they remove loans?

@NielS May 15th

@AmmonLam Is this only for bets made after May 15th or also before? Because if they just like remove all loans even on bets you already had on long term markets, that's kind of unfair imo. I wouldn't even have traded long term markets in the first place to be honest had i known that beforehand.

they already are, you just don't see the ones that are dead

@Bayesian definitely

read description, maybe title would be more accurate asking about the majority of currently popular markets, but fair enough

@Bayesian it's hard becuz there are other reasons activity could drop

@Bayesian Fixed description as you suggested