19
395
980
resolved Mar 3
100%98.8%
Hera
0.6%
TheViper
0.1%
Lierrey
0.2%
TaToH
0.1%
Yo
0.0%
DauT
0.1%
JorDan
0.1%Other

Hidden Cup V (abbr. HC5) is an Age of Empires II 1v1 tournament hosted by T90Official. After qualifiers are done, players are "hidden" until the end of the tournament. Neither the commentators, the audience, or the top 16 competitors know the real identity of the players in each match.

  • Liquipedia is the most convenient source for tournament info.

  • Hidden Cup V will run from Feb 25 to Mar 3 (2024).

Get Ṁ600 play money

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Waaaaahaah manifold needs an option for spoiler free email notification subjects 😭

@AmmonLam Resolves to HERA. Congrats to him, insane dominance.

bought Ṁ100 Hera YES

Disappointing stomp of a final :(

Thanks for making this! Looking forward to the event.

Like you did last time for my NAC5 winner market, I made a parallel "2nd place" version to pair with this:

@Ziddletwix I'd love to make some prediction markets for the identities of players... but hard to do that right. At the start of the event, 16 options is too many to track. At the ro8 or ro4, it'd be totally doable to make markets to guess the identity of individual heroes, but that doesn't give a lot of time to get people trading! Still, hopefully someone can make a few of those once we get to the later rounds (& maybe I can try).

@Ziddletwix Yea not an easy task to get the best format for predicting the identify of the players.

If you made a market about guessing the identities, I’ll certainly bet on it

@AmmonLam actually I might just do it. People mostly only care about the identity of the top players anyway. I'll make a market for Hera, Viper, Yo and stop there

@AmmonLam Yup agreed that it's best to prioritize the very best players (the rest won't matter as much). Last time I got good traction by posting about it on Reddit, I can try & do that again. Although I do think that "predicting identities" will suddenly become super interesting around the ro8/ro4 and there will be minimal interest before then, so best to try and get people aware of it at the right time.

@Ziddletwix

I got the markets for my personal top 3 players, if there's other players that you like or think should have a market for, feel free to create one for them with my template

Who is Hera?

https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/aoe-2-hidden-cup-v-which-player-is

Who is Viper?

https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/aoe-2-hidden-cup-v-which-player-is-452eed787be0

Who is Yo?

https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/aoe-2-hidden-cup-v-which-player-is-3c4b2ef4f7de

@AmmonLam Awesome, this is great! (Obvs can't exactly bet yet, nothing to go on lol). I made a dashboard here that I can add to if there are any other markets created: https://manifold.markets/news/hidden-cup-v-markets-aoe2?r=WmlkZGxldHdpeA

I'll try to share a few of these on Reddit once the tourney starts going. (We got way more activity for NAC5 than I expected, but unfortunately I think that tourney was an easier sell for predictions, as people like to know who they're betting on, so I'm not hopeful we'll get the same action)