@NivlacM Hah, I already wanted to add that I don't actually know what is a proper probability when I remembered that it is prediction market and if I think probability should be lower, I am supposed either bet at least a little or conclude that I don't actually expect probability to be lower.

Well... I do expect, so bought 5 NO.

Now it seems I should have done that before writing initial comment that I wouldn't be so sure.

@NivlacM I wouldn't be so sure. Considering how eldritch and obscure the current Ai alchemy is, it could be very close to magical practices (well, expect it actually doesn't work only 20% cases).

@EniSci I just figure people like the human element of palm reading. I'm sure AI is already acceptable at it

@NivlacM it was half a joke. But yeah, I suppose that Ai magic will be something different in type than Ai palm reading. Though I am not sure that people who like palm reading aren't the same who charged water from TV programs in Russia of 1990s (so they won't switch to personally tuned ai mages).

@NivlacM whoops I missed that taxi driver is already here

So the resolutions are only about the immunity relative to other jobs, not in absolute? If Day care workers become 99% replaceable, but the rest of the jobs are even higher, then day care workers would resolve YES as immune?

@12c498e Yes the relative immunity matters here, however Ill try to add jobs on both replaceable and nonreplaceable end, so the scenario you described shouldn't be too big of a problem