
Which of these jobs are immune to AI replacement in 2030?
19
1.1kṀ8132031
78%
Day care workers
66%
strip dancer
63%
Plumbers
59%
Burglary
59%
Academic Reseacher
55%
Public company CEO
55%
hairdresser
44%
Bus driver
40%
taxi driver
30%
Customer Service Chat Agents
28%
supermarket cashier
21%
Data Entry Clerks
21%
Call center workers
Resolution will be based on my judgment of reputable news media and the discussion in the comment section.
Jobs that rank in the top 40% for immunity to AI replacement will resolve at 100%. Jobs in the bottom 40% that are most susceptible to AI replacement will resolve at 0%. For the middle 20% of jobs, where it's unclear or debatable whether they are susceptible to AI replacement, resolution will be at 50%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@12c498e Yes the relative immunity matters here, however Ill try to add jobs on both replaceable and nonreplaceable end, so the scenario you described shouldn't be too big of a problem
Related questions
Related questions
Which jobs will not be taken over by robots before 2035?
Which job category will be most replaced by AI by end of 2026?
How many of these jobs will have a 15% or more drop in employment plausibly attributable to AI by 2031?
34% chance
How many jobs will AI replace globally by 2030 ?
POLL
Will AI writers replace all jobs for human writers by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will AI replace most people in call-centers by 2030?
88% chance
Will I (data analyst) be replaced by AI by 2025?
9% chance
Will AI take 50% of human jobs before 2030?
3% chance
Do data engineering jobs disappear due to the developments in AI in near future ?
10% chance
Will we see AI take over at least 100,000 jobs by 2027?
76% chance