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MANIFOLD
Which sector will see the highest % of jobs displaced by AI in the US by end of Dec 31, 2026?
3
Ṁ150Ṁ125
Dec 31
72%
Customer Service / Call Centers
5%
Transportation / Trucking
7%
Software Development / Coding
5%
Legal / Paralegal Work
5%
Finance / Accounting
5%
Other / None >15%

This market resolves to the sector listed in the options that exhibits the highest percentage of net job displacement in the United States by December 31, 2026. Displacement is defined as net job losses directly attributed to AI and automation tools.

Resolution will be based on data published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), McKinsey & Company, or Goldman Sachs between January 1, 2026, and January 15, 2027. If multiple reports provide conflicting data, the market will resolve based on the consensus or the most comprehensive report among the aforementioned sources, as determined by the market creator. If no qualifying report is released by January 15, 2027, the market will resolve N/A.

Background

The impact of artificial intelligence on labor markets is a subject of significant ongoing research. Projections vary widely depending on whether the focus is on task-level automation (where AI augments existing roles) or net job displacement (where roles are eliminated). The sectors listed represent areas frequently identified in economic analyses as having high exposure to generative AI and automation technologies. Because this market requires specific reporting from designated institutions, it may resolve N/A if those entities do not release relevant, sector-specific displacement data within the specified timeframe.

Market context
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