When will NYC get free buses rides (for some bus lines)?
14
1kṀ10952026
12%
2026 Q1
12%
2026 Q2
14%
2026 Q3
10%
2026 Q4
8%
2027 Q1
5%
2027 Q2
5%
2027 Q3
5%
2027 Q4
29%
Resolution criteria
Zohran Mamdani has been elected as NYC's next mayor, making free buses a near-term policy possibility. This market resolves to the year when at least 10% of NYC's bus lines (approximately 30+ of the 300+ routes) offer free rides to all passengers. Resolution will be determined by official MTA announcements or NYC government statements confirming the implementation date. If free bus rides are only offered to some population only (e.g., only NY residents, only the elderlies), that is not sufficient for this market to resolve.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will NYC MTA Access-A-Ride Paratransit Service assist more than 1 million New Yorkers in at least one month of 2025?
49% chance
When will NYC subway fares next increase?
Will NYC have congestion pricing at the end of 2025?
97% chance
Will congestion pricing in NY be stopped for more than 30 days in the next year?
6% chance
Will NYC Subway ridership be 70% of pre-pandemic levels or higher at the end of 2025?
80% chance
Will New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
37% chance
When will waymo first be available in New York City
When will the Interborough Express (IBX) in New York City open for passenger service?
By which year will there be self-driving cars in New York City?
Will the Boston silver line from airport ever stop being free by 2035
48% chance