When will I be able to summon a robotaxi in Manhattan?
13
1.4kṀ1513
2028
February 20, 2027
10%
By the end of 2025
35%
By the end of 2026
37%
By the end of 2027
18%
Later than 12/31/2027

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to the date when I can summon a fully autonomous robotaxi in Manhattan without a human safety driver present. The robotaxi must be generally available for public use, allowing me to request a ride through a publicly accessible platform or service, and the service must be available across at least half of Manhattan’s land area.

Clarifications:

  • The options are not mutually exclusive, e.g. if a robotaxi becomes available on 3/1/2026, “By the end of 2026” will resolve YES and “By the end of 2027” will resolve YES.

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opened a Ṁ250 NO at 20% order

@bence some limit orders up for 2025 if you want them

@tobiasscheuer nah thank you, i bought that one up higher than i wanted already cuz of the low liquidity

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