When will Magnus Carlsen retire from competitive chess?
11
415Ṁ241
Jan 21
9%
2025
11%
2026
11%
2027
12%
2028
12%
2029
10%
2030
34%Other

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1 YES

With his current feud with FIDE, if he doesn't play anymore FIDE tourneys and just plays freestyle chess and maybe chess .com would that be sufficient to resolve to 2025?

People are also trading

Will Magnus Carlsen stay the top-rated chess player through 2025?
95% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen still be the best chess player in 2026?
84% chance
Magnus Carlsen has the highest ELO in the world in mid 2025?
97% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2025?
86% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen drop below 2800 Elo at any point before 2026?
6% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen compete in a Candidate's tournament before 2029?
15% chance
What year will someone surpass Magnus Carlsen on the list of Top Rated FIDE players?
Will Magnus Carlsen compete for the FIDE Classical World Chess Championship before 2033?
8% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen have a child by May 2030?
82% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2029?
20% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy