How Republican is Elon Musk? (On the spectrum of US Republican to Democrat)
36
Never closes
100% Republican, 0% Democrat
80% Republican, 20% Democrat
60% Republican, 40% Democrat
50% Republican, 50% Democrat
40% Republican, 60% Democrat
20% Republican, 80% Democrat
0% Republican, 100% Democrat

How Republican is Elon Musk on the spectrum of US Republican to Democrat?

I'm projecting Elon Musk's political views onto a Republican vs. Democrat dichotomy


relevant prediction market:



Some relevant X posts that hints on his political views:

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Elon musk form a new political party
+3% 1d30% chance
Will Elon Musk vote for the Republican party in 2028?
61% chance
Will Elon Musk be the next Republican presidential candidate?
3% chance
Will Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election?
46% chance
Will Elon Musk's political orientation change by the end of 2025?
38% chance
Will Elon Musk endorse a Democrat for president in the next decade? (by November 2034)
45% chance
Elon Musk significantly backs a third party in Midterms?
43% chance
Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?
20% chance
Will Elon Musk fund any democratic party member in 2025?
20% chance
Will Elon Musk endorse a democratic candidate in the next US presidential election?
25% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy