My guy is cooked. If I had mana I would be betting this up to 20%.

By the way @ManifoldPolitics & @JamesGrugett can I please request my @Tumbles special bailout for $1.4 million mana loan any day now I kinda need it, I'll pay you guys back.

@AltPutin

If Trump dies does this resolve YES or NO?

@mods Can we clarify that trump dying resolves NO? It's basically the only way he won't be on the ballot.

@bagelfan the creator @AltPutin was active 2 days ago, so I don't think the mods should step in officially at the moment, but I would guess that if we do, it's pretty clear that "Trump dies while in the running" does not constitute "Trump drops out."

Ok, thanks.

Is getting shot/killed dropping out?

I’d wager there’s no way Trump voluntarily drops out.

If only there was somewhere you could bet on this

What are some driving forces and/or events that would increase Trump's chances of dropping out?

1. Poor polling performance

2. Poor fundraising

3. Campaign finance mismanagement/scandal

4. Some pivot/excuse to exit the race to do something better

5. Health issues

6. Pressure from the Republican party

7. Republicans find a better candidate

8. Personal scandal that Trump supporters care about
   

Listed in descending order of likelihood