Will human intelligence solve aging before AGI does? | Manifold

Will human intelligence solve aging before AGI does?

16

1kṀ616

Nov 22

14%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Disclaimers:

This question is part of Foresight’s 2023 Vision Weekends to help spark discussion amongst participants, so the phrasing and resolution criteria may be vaguer than I would normally like for this site. Apologies for that. We thought it would still be useful to make the market public to potentially inform other discussions.
If you would to add alternative answers, please do so in the comments!

Foresight Vision Weekend 2023

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

@AllisonDuettmann might want to extend the market resolution to later? like 2040 or something?

Can you define "solve aging" for the purpose of this market?

Related questions

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on AGI by 2050?

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050?

Will AGI be achieved before AIs are able to smell?

Will we get AGI before 2047?

Will we get AGI before 2040?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2046?

Will we get AGI before 2045?

Related questions

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on AGI by 2050?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050?

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

Will AGI be achieved before AIs are able to smell?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2047?

Will we get AGI before 2046?

Will we get AGI before 2040?

Will we get AGI before 2045?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules