If Manifold stops mana donations to charity, will five or more top traders leave?

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resolved Feb 24

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If Manifold stops mana donations to charity, will five or more users on the current all-time top traders leaderboard leave between the time of the announcement and March 31?

Leaving would mean closing the account or being inactive for 30 consecutive days.

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Manifold

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Would transferring all your mana to an alt account and not logging into your main account for a month count as leaving? 🤔

That's a very short timeframe. I would give good odds to this if the question was over the next 6 months, but habits take time to break.

Better screenshot the leaderboard?

I assume this won't count people who have already been inactive for the last 30 days?

@jack Yeah, leaving would have to happen after an official announcement is made.

@Alice What about people who have been mostly inactive?

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If a third party starts allowing Manifold users to cash out their mana for real money, will Manifold shut it down?

93% chance

How much will I donate to charity as a result of Manifold bribes?

1,884

Will Manifold donate at least $50 to a fraudulent charity before 2030?

47% chance

When will Manifold implement a charity program? [READ DESCRIPTION]

7/16/26

How much money will Manifold make me donate to charity in 2026?

149

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