Will the "Will there be another letter ... by May 31st?" market resolve YES?
77
1.4kṀ200k
resolved May 30
Resolved
YES

This market is about the resolution of the market currently titled "Will there be another well-recognized letter/statement on AI risk by May 31, 2023?"

Lots of people are interested in this question and are currently estimating the probability of the event "a similar letter as the Pause Letter released by the Future of Life Institute by end of May 2023". The letter is well-recognized "if it gets signed by at least 10 big public figureheads in AI, and at least one Turing award winner. It may address any sorts of risks from powerful AI".

However, due to reasons unknown to the manifold community, the above market has been delisted which means the predictors who correctly estimated the probability of event in question will not be rewarded with league points.

This market provides an opportunity to bet on the same event with the benefit of it being listed and the market participants skills will be rewarded in their leagues.

This market resolves YES if the market currently titled "Will there be another well-recognized letter/statement on AI risk by May 31, 2023?" resolves YES.

It will resolve NO otherwise.

I will not delist this market.


Link: https://manifold.markets/quinesweeper/will-there-be-another-wellrecognize

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