Will Ukraine keep Rabotyno/Rabotino before 1st of Oct 2023?
Basic
14
Ṁ5291
resolved Sep 30
Resolved
YES

Fight around Rabotino took place for 1+ month.
Almost every day Ukraininans try to throw away russian troopers from village.
Few times both sides announced, that they fully contol village.

23rd of August, OSINT started to report an Ukrainian Flag raised above this village.

Russian telegram channels deny this fact.

Will Ukrain hold the village before 1st of Oct 2023?

CRITERIA for YES:

1) Rybar telegram channel will accept that Rabotino is lost before 1st of Oct 2023 https://web.telegram.org/k/#@rybar

2) By 1st of Oct 2023 OSINT map will draw village as fully contolled by Ukraine

https://liveuamap.com/en/2023/23-august-ukrainian-flag-raised-over-robotyne-village-of

Related voting:

https://manifold.markets/AlexanderZ/will-russia-take-kupiansk-in-2023


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So if by October, LiveUAMap shows the town fully control by Ukraine, but Rybar reports it as contested, this still resolves to yes, is that right?

predicted NO

@AlexandreK let's see if it will be contested or not. Rybar sometimes reports with delay. To have situation you mentioned, Russia need retake control, and later Ukraine should get Rabotyno back. On this case Rybar will take a pause to declare . During the pause situation will be assessed as NO, currently it is YES.

predicted YES

"Russian units left Rabotino to prepared positions south of the village."

https://t.me/rybar_in_english/5983

Rybar in English
❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Chronicles of the special military operation for September 1, 2023 Ukrainian formations again attacked the rear settlements of Russia with drones: enemy vehicles were intercepted in Pskov, in the sky over Belgorod and the Bryansk region, and also on approach to Moscow near the city of Lyubertsy. One drone of the AFU was still able to reach the goal - the city of Kurchatov in the Kursk region was attacked. On the Day of Knowledge, the enemy massively shelled the settlements of the Donetsk agglomeration. Residential buildings and civil infrastructure facilities were damaged. According to the latest data, 23 civilians were injured, three people died, including a six-year-old girl. In the Zaporizhia direction, Russian units left Rabotino to prepared positions south of the village. At the same time, at the moment, the AFU have concentrated on trying to break through the defenses of the Russian Armed Forces near Verbovoye. In addition, amid of the forced evacuation of the civilian population, there is a possibility of intensifying fighting in the Gulyai-Pole area. In the Kherson direction, Russian troops continue to suppress enemy attempts to gain a foothold on the left bank of the Dnieper. Nevertheless, the AFU managed to land troops on Alekseevsky Island, east of the Antonovsky Bridge, and at the turn of the Podstepnoye - Cossack Camps, where the enemy maintains its presence for several days. Read more on our website Map in high resolution in Russian high resolution map #digest #Bakhmut #Donetsk Zaporizhia #map #Crimea #Russia #Ukraine Support us Original msg
predicted NO

@Nosaix thank you, criteria 1&2 fulfilled, lets wait if russians will counter attack before 1st of Oct. Currently Robotyno is fully under ukrainian control.