Will Trump effectively control policy of a future, 2029-2033 GoP president?
7
1kṀ11752033
29%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
At the two-year mark of the next presidency I'll hold a poll with the question "Is Donald Trump effectively controlling policies of the current government?". The options will be "yes" and "no". This market will resolve to the percentage of "yes" responders.
If Donald Trump is not alive anymore when this market closes, serving a third term or the president is not from the Republican party this market resolves N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028?
61% chance
Will Donald Trump be the President of the USA on December 31, 2025?
96% chance
Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)?
Will Donald Trump be President of the United States on December 30th, 2025?
95% chance
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Will Trump still be president on January 1, 2029?
78% chance
Will Trump be President at any point in 2029?
84% chance
Will Trump still be president in June 2030 (given a 2025 presidency)?
5% chance
Will Donald Trump be president on January 19, 2029?
76% chance
Will Donald Trump still be in power in February 2029?
4% chance