MANIFOLD
What will happen before Bitcion hits $200k?
10
Ṁ1.7kṀ923
2030
63%
Peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine
63%
Donald Trump leaves office
50%
Wikipedia adds a new state to list of recognized nuclear weapons states which stays for 24hrs+
50%
Severance tv show airs last episode
50%
Category 5 hurricane makes a direct hit on Miami
48%
A massive blizzard causes widespread power outages which last for months in the Northeast
41%
X 10.00 solar flare [or higher]
31%
Viral Hemorrhagic Fever outbreak in the USA [100+ confirmed cases]
28%
Winds of Winter is published
27%
Taylor Swift gets divorced
25%
Two-state solution between Israel and Palestine recognized by Israel
18%
CCP rules Taiwan

Market context
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