What will happen at Trump's military parade on June 14th in DC?
33
350Ṁ1886Jun 15
90%
Trump compliments himself
71%
Trump congratulates himself to his birthday
62%
At least 50 protestors are arrested
59%
Trump gives a speech exceeding 30 minutes
59%
Trump mentions Biden in a speech
54%
Number of protestors is estimated to be 100,000 or more
46%
Teargas is used
28%
Trump mentions Elon Musk in a speech
27%
Parade is cancelled
21%
At least one drone attacks the parade
18%
A bridge is damaged by a tank
16%
Someone dies
10%
At least 500 protestors are arrested
9%
Assasination Attempt Thwarted (staged or real)
To make it easy to resolve these I'll give both ChatGPT and Perplexity the market description and ask how the answers should resolve. If they disagree I'll ask Gemini. If the llms refuse to make a decisive choice I'll resolve the answer N/A.
I'll use whatever the standard model is that comes without a paid plan and has web access. I'll resolve no sooner than the 15th so that adequate data can appear online.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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