France, Germany, Netherlands, or Belgium have Muslim public holiday by 2040? | Manifold

France, Germany, Netherlands, or Belgium have Muslim public holiday by 2040?

12

Ṁ100Ṁ286

2039

57%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If holidays can differ within the country (like by state/Bundesland in Germany) it has to be adopted by enough jurisdictions to affect at least 66% of the population.

I'll use Wikipedia as source of truth for population counts and official, public holidays. If there is a holiday relevant to Christians and Muslims (no idea if this exists) it doesn't count.

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