/Ernie/will-an-adult-movie-be-made-and-rel

^^ related market

The deadline for this one is pretty good. Give it until 2040 and there should be a lot more commercial spaceflight, including some privately managed stations in LEO. That would make it a fairly easy YES. But 2030 too soon for any of those plans, even with an optimistic timeline.

But still, 6.5 more years gives time for quite a few more "Polaris" style missions (i.e. entirely private), including some on Starship, which is big enough to allow some privacy. Dennis and Akiko Tito (a married couple) have a flyby of the moon booked already, for example.

This also requires someone to be willing to talk about it afterwards...

The question has lots of great tension, and not of the sexual kind. It could really go either way, but it's not so much "random" as just complex. Nice one!

But the market creator has deleted their account? Bummer. Gonna pass.

How will you know? How do you know that it hasn’t happened already?

This question seems critically vague given a lot of space tourism doesn't even reach space according to several commonly used definitions. There are boundaries from 80km to 120 km.

The question of what sex is could also be an issue.

Given the number of billionaires going to space... 🤔

Does it count if it's on a Virgin Galactic or Blue Origin flight?

@Multicore If someone has sex on a Virgin Galactic flight, will they have to change the name?

Does sex on another planet count?

@MartinRandall I don't think that would count unless it doesn't have atmosphere

Have they not already??? Legit question

@JohnSmithb9be Everything I have read said no, but if evidence comes out confirming it had already happened I'll resolve YES.

@JohnSmithb9be I find it quite hard to believe that a married couple launched on a space shuttle together (which did happen) and didn't have sex, but there is no evidence and they deny it.

@JoshuaWilkes Might be hard to find privacy, and something that's not mentioned often is that air smell on the ISS is pretty bad. Very stale air and any smell permeates everywhere and lingers. Might not be very nice to the others to have sweaty sex in that situation.

(There's a person working for NASA whose job it is to smell things before they go to space, to make sure they won't make the entire place smelly!)

@Mqrius Everyone is shitting at least a couple times a week though? Does a quickie really foul the air that much given the baseline?