2023 Chess Championship: Will there be MORE drawn games than with decisive results?
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650Ṁ12k
resolved Apr 30
Resolved
YES
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predictedYES

@AlexLiesman Out of 18 games played 11 were drawn and 7 were decisive, this market should resolve to YES

The tiebreak games will count for this market if it gets to that point, right?

@NamesAreHard I think all of the games should count in this market: classical, rapid, blitz, and sudden-death tiebreaker rounds. Btw vote here if you think that it will even get to blitz or tiebreaker rounds: https://manifold.markets/MayMeta/will-world-chess-championship-2023

predictedYES

@MayMeta Consistent with creator’s original intentions though had I realised this I would not have wagered. Oh well. https://manifold.markets/AlexLiesman/2023-chess-championship-will-there#RSdIXnYlw0Z5F7n7wBls

predictedNO

Also: does a draw in armageddon count as a draw or a win (for black)?

predictedNO

@EzraSchott armageddon is scored as normal draw for black is a draw

@EzraSchott I think they're not doing armageddon this time, they'll just keep playing blitz until somebody wins: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2023#Match_regulations

predictedNO

What are you guys smoking? Am I missing something?

predictedNO

@EzraSchott Never mind! I figured out what I was missing!

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