Will I advance to a PhD candidate on my first try?
10
27
200
May 29
74%
chance

I will propose a dissertation project this month. Will I pass (will it get accepted by my committee)? Passing with minor edits counts. Having to redo the advancement does not.

Get Ṁ200 play money
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When I created this market I would have put it at a 60% yes. I'm feeling good about the direction and now would put it at 90% myself.

bought Ṁ10 YES

Disclaimer: I am betting on this market, but I will resolve it honestly.