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Will I get a tenure-track job offer straight out of my PhD?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ15
2028
43%
chance

I’m currently a PhD student in philosophy at Harvard, in my second-to-third-last year. This means I’ll be on the job market next year or the next, trying to become a professor. Market resolved YES provided that I get a job offer for a tenure-track position by the end of the job market season in 2028.

The resolution date is in May of 2028, but I will keep the market open if for some reason things are unclear by that point.

The market will resolve YES even if I do not accept the offer. A postdoc will not be sufficient for YES. The market will resolve NO if I drop out of my PhD or I decide to not go on the academic job market.

I will not be trading in this market.

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