Resolves to NA if elections are cancelled before candidate registration is complete
1,000
3.00Slightly nitpicky, but seems wise to clarify nonetheless: there're 2 key milestones a candidate must clear to get onto the ballot. The first (an initial group of electors; some documents) ends at Jan 1st, and Central Election Commission accepts or refuses those by Jan 6 at latest. Then, some candidates are required to collect and provide citizens' signatures of support. Those sponsored by parliamentary parties don't need to; sponsored by non-parliamentary parties, 100000 signatures; independent candidates, 300000 signatures. Deadline for that is Jan 31; CEC decision ought to happen in 10 days after submission of those.
So, question: shall we consider a candidate registered if they clear the first step, if they also clear the second, if they also appear on the ballot on the day of, or in some other case?
(Source: ru wiki page on these elections.)
@mxxun resolution criteria is to be greenlighted by election commission to appear in the election day ballot. So the candidate must go through all registration steps successfully to resolve positively.
There might be an edge case when candidate is approved, but drops out or removed after approval by election commission, it will also be resolved positively as long as this candidate has had an official approval by election commission.
In terms of dates, I’ll resolve after the official decisions will be made on second milestone for all candidates.
I’m also considering the possibility of ongoing rejection appeals, in which case I might delay resolution closer to the election date.
@AlekseiBelostotskii btw, is this a partially-resolvable market? Most current answers are basically decided, or likely to get there in about a week.
@AlekseiBelostotskii Sure does; see e.g. https://manifold.markets/Joshua/will-nothing-ever-happen-permanent, which resolves 1 answer per month. Though it's possible this requires setting something at market creation, and can't be done later.