Who will win the 2030 Russian presidential election?
Basic
18
Ṁ495
2030
35%
Vladimir Putin
23%
Other
11%
Sergey Kiriyenko
10%
Aleksey Dyumin
7%
Yulia Navalnaya
6%
No one
3%
Sergey Naryshkin
2%
Sergei Shoigu
1.2%
Mikhail Mishustin
1.1%
Igor Sechin
1%
Dmitry Medvedev

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2030 Russian presidential election.

This market's closing date, currently 1 June 2030, may be pushed back if needed to ensure that it can stay open until the results are clear.

If no presidential election is held in Russia in 2030, this market shall resolve to "No one".

I will not bet on this market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

So this resolves "no one" in pretty much all scenarios where Putin doesn't sit for his whole upcoming term (death, coup, etc.)?

i just hope he dies

I will not bet on this market.

Spoken like someone with insider influence on Kremlin politics!

That is an obfuscation of "will presidential election be held in russia in 2030" until people start adding variants.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules