
Will I consider myself a full-time AI alignment researcher by the end of 2023?
17
430Ṁ1967resolved Jan 1
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Please use all available information about me to make this prediction. I will also answer questions in the comments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Conditional on not having died from unaligned AGI, I consider myself a full time alignment researcher by the end of 2030
34% chance
By the end of 2025, which piece of advice will I feel has had the most positive impact on me becoming an effective AI alignment researcher?
Will we solve AI alignment by 2026?
2% chance
Will some piece of AI capabilities research done in 2023 or after be net-positive for AI alignment research?
81% chance
Will I have a research position at Anthropic (Research Engineer included) by the end of 2025?
13% chance
Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2030, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?
34% chance
Will I focus on the AI alignment problem for the rest of my life?
62% chance
Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2050, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?
52% chance
I make a contribution to AI safety that is endorsed by at least one high profile AI alignment researcher by the end of 2026
59% chance
Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?
32% chance