Will I believe that Klotho gene therapy in adults is a nontrivial cognitive enhancer (order of >5 IQ pts) EOY 2025?
6
1kṀ459Dec 31
32%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points before 2030?
6% chance
Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 50+ points before 2030?
5% chance
Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points with under $200k before 2030?
9% chance
Will there be a survivable way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM by the end of 2030?
8% chance
When will there be a confirmation* of an adult human, whose IQ score was improved by 15 by gene-editing?
Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?
37% chance
Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM before 2030?
12% chance
Will I get follistatin gene therapy by EOY 2026?
26% chance
By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?
28% chance
Will someone prominent like Bill Fallon get gene therapy of the yamanaka factors by EOY 2027
26% chance