Will Eliezer Yudkowsky believe xAI has had a meaningful positive impact on AI alignment at the end of 2024?
Plus
13
Ṁ1984Dec 31
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Just like in the Dan Hendrycks market, it'd be great if Eliezer could provide/suggest some likely criteria for this!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?
27% chance
Will Dan Hendrycks believe xAI has had a meaningful positive impact on AI alignment at the end of 2024?
42% chance
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
61% chance
Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)
8% chance
Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026
28% chance
In 2025, will I believe that aligning automated AI research AI should be the focus of the alignment community?
60% chance
If Elon Musk does something as a result of his AI angst by 2025, will Eliezer Yudkowsky judge it to be a positive or neutral initiative (as opposed to negative)?
17% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have any meeting about AI with any member of the US congress, senate, or white house before 2025?
19% chance
Will xAI have the most powerful AI by December 2024?
17% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?
20% chance