
Will the Wagner group stop operating in Ukraine by the end of Jul 2023?
195
2kṀ98kresolved Aug 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
YES = if multiple reliable sources confirm that the Wagner group has ceased its operations in Ukraine entirely. Temporary halts to recuperate will not count.
The current consensus seems to be that Wagner Group are not involved in combat operations in Ukraine.
Based on the earlier survey, I will wait for a month after market close to resolve this. But as it stands (which could change), the market will very likely resolve YES. However, if Wagner Group resumes operations in Ukraine before resolution, then this market will resolve NO (as the halt in operation would be deemed temporary).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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