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Will the next Starship Orbital Launch attempt occur before the end of July 2023?
Akzzz123 avatar
AK
62
closes Aug 1
11%
chance

Resolves YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Orbital Flight Test", "Starship Orbital Launch", or similar, which shows a live feed of Starship and a countdown, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.

Related:

Spacex
Space
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eclair4151 avatar
eclair4151is predicting NO at 16%

not looking likely for a July launch

Alexf3a5 avatar
Alexbought Ṁ25 of NO

I think it's a maybe 50% chance SpaceX will be technically ready, but it will take longer than 3 months to get another launch licence.

I hope I'm wrong but I feel it in my waters

Mqrius avatar
Mqrius

Arbitrage

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