I think it's a maybe 50% chance SpaceX will be technically ready, but it will take longer than 3 months to get another launch licence. 

I hope I'm wrong but I feel it in my waters 

Resolves YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Orbital Flight Test", "Starship Orbital Launch", or similar, which shows a live feed of Starship and a countdown, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ445
2		Ṁ217
3		Ṁ192
4		Ṁ168
5		Ṁ119

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