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MANIFOLD
DGG Orbiter Bingo - Which set of orbiters will appear first in October 2023
10
Ṁ785Ṁ3.5k
resolved Nov 1
100%97%
None of them
0.2%
Row 1 (MrMouton, Dan, Taftaj, Econoboy, Aella)
0.3%
Row 2 (Aba, WickedSupreme, Vaush, Xena, chaeiry)
0.2%
Row 3 (4THOT, Brianna Wu, Darius, Trainwrecks, Lilypichu)
0.3%
Row 4 (Farha, treeoflogic, Pisco, Stardust, Ukrainian Ana)
0.4%
Row 5 (Iri, notsoErudite, Melina, xqc, Sejin)
0.3%
Column A (MrMouton, Aba, 4THOT, Farha, Iri)
0.3%
Column B (Dan, WickedSupreme, Brianna Wu, treeoflogic, notsoErudite)
0.2%
Column C (Taftaj, Vaush, Darius, Pisco, Melina)
0.3%
Column D (Econoboy, Xena, Trainwrecks, Stardust, xqc)
0.2%
Column E (Aella, chaeiry, Lilypichu, Ukrainian Ana, Sejin)
0.3%
Diagonal 1 (MrMouton, WickedSupreme, Darius, Stardust, Sejin)
0.3%
Diagonal 2 (Aella, Xena, Darius, treeoflogic, Iri)

This is a bingo card where orbiters are crossed off once they appear on destiny's stream. Once a row/column/diagonal is completed the market resolves towards that option.

  • If a row and column are simultaneously completed it will resolve to both answers simultaneously, so both those answers will pay out as if they were at 50%. If you expect that to happen you don't want to purchase them over 50%

  • By the same logic, this market might even resolve to three or four options simultaneously, e.g. if Darius is the last one to show up. But that would be pretty unlikely.

  • Of course the orbiters in question don't have to appear all on the same stream.

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I'm dumping mana into this as the month ends because the "none of them" option is undervalued by a lot, but I would only bet on a market like this just for fun if it was YES/NO formatted